Damaging winds with isolated tornadoes will be possible Thursday evening.
Wind Advisories for the Smokies run from 7 PM tonight until 5 AM Friday for SW winds 15-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. So weather does not surprise you #CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 38° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 61° 7:49 AM Friday sunrise 7:42 PM Friday sunset LOW this morning in Knoxville: 53° HIGH this evening in Knoxville: 72° Tonight: Strong to severe storms possible for the evening, more showers overnight, 60% chance, lows in the upper 50s to near 60° Friday: Rainy A.M., 60% chance, clouds to hazy sun, highs in the mid 60s Friday night: Mostly cloudy, lows in the mid 40s Saturday: Clouds with some hazy sun, spotty showers, 20% chance, highs in the upper 50s Saturday night: More showers develop, 60% chance, lows in the upper 40s Sunday: Mostly cloudy, showers, mainly in the morning, 80% chance, highs in the mid to upper 50s Sunday night: Mostly cloudy, lows in the mid 40s Monday: Partly sunny, spotty rain, 20% chance, highs in the lower to mid 60s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Lancing, Crab Orchard, Catlettsburg or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. National Weather Service Morristown TN 337 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2020 Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Blount Smoky Mountains- Sevier Smoky Mountains-Southeast Monroe- Including the cities of Hartford, Cedar Creek, Cades Cove, Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Citico, and Coker Creek 337 PM EDT Thu Mar 12 2020 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EDT FRIDAY... WHAT...Southwest winds increasing to 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Southeast Greene, Blount Smoky Mountains, Sevier Smoky Mountains and Southeast Monroe Counties. WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 5 AM EDT Friday. IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
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UPDATED 12:27 PM Thursday
Damaging winds with isolated tornadoes will be possible Thursday afternoon and evening. So weather does not surprise you #CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 38° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 60° 7:50 AM Thursday sunrise 7:41 PM Thursday sunset LOW this morning in Knoxville: 53° Today Spots of rain in the morning, clouds with hazy sun, showers & thunder, mainly in the afternoon and evening, 60% chance, some of the storms could be strong to severe, warm, highs in the lower to mid 70s Tonight: Strong to severe storms for the evening, more showers overnight, 60% chance, lows in the upper 50s Friday: Rainy A.M., 60% chance, clouds to hazy sun, highs in the lower to mid 60s Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the lower 40s Saturday: Clouds with some hazy sun, spotty showers, 20% chance, highs in the upper 50s Saturday night: More showers develop, 60% chance, lows near 50° Sunday: Mostly cloudy, showers, mainly in the morning, 80% chance, highs in the upper 50s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Loudon, Sunbright, Sneedville or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. UPDATED 8:40 AM Wednesday
So weather does not surprise you #CaptAccurateWx LOW this morning in Knoxville: 56° Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 38° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 60° 7:52 AM Wednesday sunrise 7:40 PM Wednesday sunset Today: Plenty of clouds, some hazy sun, spotty showers, 20% chance of rain, highs in the upper 60s to near 70° Tonight: Increasing clouds, spotty showers, 20% chance, lows near 50° Thursday Hazy sun & clouds, showers & thunder, mainly in the afternoon and evening, 60% chance, warm, some of the storms could be strong to severe, highs in the lower to mid 70s Thursday night: More showers, 60% chance, lows in the mid to upper 50s Friday: Mostly cloudy, scattered rain showers, 60% chance, highs in the mid to upper 60s Friday night: Partly cloudy, lows in the lower 40s Saturday: Mostly cloudy, few showers, 40% chance, highs in the mid to upper 50s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Greenback, Ten Mile, Fincastle or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. From a great article...
"Here are the five little winters and when they occur in Tennessee:
It's not easy being Accurate
#CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 38° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 60° 7:53 AM Tuesday sunrise 7:40 PM Tuesday sunset I am expecting rainfall on Tuesday to be 0.33" or LESS for East Tennessee on average. Early this morning: Cloudy, showers, 60% chance, low in the lower 50s Today: Cloudy, showers and isolated thunderstorms, 60% chance of rain, highs in the lower to mid 60s Tonight: More clouds, more showers, 60% chance, lows in the lower 50s Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, few showers, mostly in the morning, 20% chance of rain, highs in the upper 60s Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy, lows in the upper 40s Thursday Cloudy, showers & thunder, 80% chance, warm, highs in the mid to upper 60s Thursday night: More showers, 60% chance, lows in the mid 50s Friday: Rainy at times, 80% chance, highs in the mid to upper 60s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Winfield, Vonore, Kodak or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. Graphical view & surveys of the Middle Tennessee Tornadoes of March 2nd & 3rd.
https://www.weather.gov/ohx/20200303 It's not easy being Accurate #CaptAccurateWx LOW this morning in Knoxville: 36° Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 37° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 59° 7:54 AM Monday sunrise 7:39 PM Monday sunset Today: Increasing clouds, some hazy sun, mild, highs in the mid to upper 60s Tonight: Clouds thicken, showers, mainly after midnight, 40% chance, low in the lower 50s Tuesday: Cloudy, 80% chance of rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, highs in the lower to mid 60s Tuesday night: More clouds, more showers, 60% chance, lows in the lower 50s Wednesday: Mainly gray, scattered showers, some thunder, 60% chance of rain, highs in the upper 60s Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy, lows in the upper 40s Thursday Partly sunny, few showers, 40% chance, warmer, highs in the lower 70s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for New Market, Farragut, Rockwood or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. UPDATED BLOG at 11:47 AM Sunday
Graphical view & surveys of the Middle Tennessee Tornadoes of March 2nd & 3rd. https://www.weather.gov/ohx/20200303 It's not easy being Accurate #CaptAccurateWx LOW this morning: 29° Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 37° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 59° 7:56 AM Sunday sunrise 7:38 PM Sunday sunset Today: Mostly sunny, highs in the lower 60s Tonight: Mostly clear, lows in the upper 30s Monday: Partly cloudy, increasing high clouds in the afternoon, 20% chance of spotty rain at night, highs in the mid 60s Monday night: Clouds thicken, more showers, 40% chance, low in the lower 50s Tuesday: Cloudy, 60% chance of rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, highs in the mid 60s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Petros, Claxton, Boyds Creek or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. Graphical view of the Middle Tennessee Tornadoes
https://www.weather.gov/ohx/20200303 It's not easy being Accurate #CaptAccurateWx LOW this morning in Knoxville: 42° Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 37° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 58° Today: Partly sunny, breezy, gusts 30-35 mph, spots of rain drop down from the North and change to snowflakes, especially for the Smokies and S.E. Kentucky, 40% chance, daytime highs in the lower to mid 40s Tonight: Mostly cloudy, isolated flurries for the Smokies, colder, lows near 30° Saturday: Early morning clouds, becoming sunny, highs in the lower 50s Saturday night: Starry skies, lows in the lower 30s Sunday: Mostly sunny, highs in the lower 60s Sunday night: Mostly clear, lows in the upper 30s Monday: Partly cloudy, 20% chance of spotty rain at night, highs in the mid 60s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Oliver Springs, Norma, Washburn or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. National Weather Service Morristown TN 321 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2020 Johnson-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Southeast Greene-Unicoi- Southeast Carter-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Southeast Monroe- Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Hartford, Cedar Creek, Erwin, Unicoi, Limestone Cove, Hampton, Cades Cove, Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Citico, and Coker Creek 321 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee. WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chill values will drop into lower teens and single digits across the higher elevations tonight and Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Because Accurate forecasts don't grow on trees
#CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 37° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 58° Today: Mostly cloudy, rain showers, especially South of I-40, 40% chance, highs in the mid to upper 50s to around 60° Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the mid to upper 30s Friday: Partly sunny, breezy, gusts 30-35 mph, spots of rain drop down from the North and change to stray flakes late toward evening, especially for the Smokies and S.E. Kentucky, highs in the mid 40s Friday night: Isolated flurries for the Smokies, partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the upper 20s Saturday: Sunshiny skies, highs in the lower 50s Saturday night: Starry skies, lows in the lower 30s Sunday: Mostly sunny, highs in the lower 60s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Powell, Tazewell, Cosby or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. UPDATED 8:52 AM Wednesday
Because Accurate forecasts don't grow on trees #CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 36° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 58° LOW this morning in Knoxville: 43° Today: Hazy sun & clouds, spotty P.M. rain, 20% chance, mainly South of I-40, highs in the lower to mid 60s Tonight: Mostly cloudy, spots of rain, mainly South of I-40, lows in the lower 40s Thursday: Hazy sun & clouds, spotty rain, mainly South of I-40, 20% chance, highs in the upper 50s to around 60° Thursday night: Mostly cloudy, lows in the mid to upper 30s Friday: Scattered clouds, spots of rain to stray flakes late toward evening, especially for the Smokies and S.E. Kentucky, highs in the upper 40s Friday night: Isolated flurries for the Smokies, partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the upper 20s Saturday: Sunshiny skies, highs in the lower 50s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Solway, Heiskell, Blaine or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. Because Accurate forecasts don't grow on trees
#CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 36° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 57° Early this morning: Cloudy, more rain showers, 80% chance, isolated thunder, mild, some storms could be strong to severe from the Plateau to the Valley before sunrise, lows in the upper 40s to near 50° and RISING. Today: Mostly cloudy, rainy at times, 80% chance, isolated thunder, breezy, gusts around 30 mph, highs in the lower to mid 60s Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows near 40° Wednesday: Early spotty rain, mainly in the Smokies, 20% chance, clouds to hazy sun, highs in the lower to mid 60s Wednesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, lows in the lower 40s Thursday: Partly sunny, spotty rain, 20% chance, highs in the mid to upper 50s Thursday night: Partly cloudy, lows in the mid to upper 30s Friday: Partly cloudy, stray flakes late toward evening, highs in the upper 40s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Caryville, Harrogate, Sharps Chapel or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. All forecasts are not created equal #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. Amazing what 6 hours will do. The SAME model takes a perfectly good blizzard and reduces it to nothing. I rest my case.
All forecasts are not created equal
#CaptAccurateWx Knoxville's normal LOW this time of year: 36° Knoxville's normal HIGH this time of year: 57° Early this morning: Clouds thicken, showers develop, lows in the lower to mid 40s Monday: Cloudy, rainy at times, 80% chance, isolated thunder, highs in the lower to mid 50s Monday night: Cloudy, more rain showers, 80% chance, isolated thunder, mild, lows in the upper 40s to near 50° and rising. Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, rainy at times, 80% chance, isolated thunder, breezy, gusts around 30 to 35 mph, highs in the mid 60s Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, rain showers linger, 60% chance, lows in the mid 40s Wednesday: Early spotty rain, 20% chance, clouds to sun, highs in the mid 60s Wednesday night: Scattered clouds, lows in the lower 40s Thursday: Partly cloudy, spotty rain, 20% chance, highs in the mid to upper 50s For the latest 7 Day Forecast for Helenwood, Walland, Luttrell or your town, check out the Captain Accurate Weather App. I also have a BRAND NEW horizontal 7 Day Forecast for Knoxville and a BRAND NEW Video, posted daily, on the home page of CaptainAccurate.com and on the Captain Accurate Weather App. Check it out here. Because Accurate forecasts don't grow on trees #CaptAccurateWx P.S. If you find these independent forecasts and posts helpful, please consider supporting me by downloading my NEW Captain Accurate Weather App. It's FREE. Just search: Captain Accurate at the App Store and Google Play. It comes with 5 FREE App Tutorials, so you can quickly learn all the wonderful things it can do. Once upon a time, say, last Thursday, February 27th (like, you know, recent), there was an American generated weather computer model that suggested that Knoxville and East Tennessee was going to receive nearly 7" of RAIN this week: namely, on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. Fast forward to today, March 1st, and that SAME computer model says, "no, it's more like 0.72" of RAIN" for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday for Knoxville and East Tennessee...a reduction by about a factor of 10. BIG difference in opinion, don't you think, in just 3 days time?
Well, today, that SAME model is painting a NEW picture of a possible Blizzard of '93 style storm into East Tennessee for March 12th, 2020. The risk of showing you this picture causes some to overreact...while others will use it as clickbait, without any further explanation or context. What it tells me is this model is out to lunch. Sure, the battle between warm and cold exists in the month of March, it always does, so whipsaw model output is to be expected. However, it will change, just like the rainfall example above. Only this time, it has 1 to 2 weeks to change its mind. Besides, my takeaway from this (as has been since November 5th when my Winter Weather Outlook came out on CaptainAccurate.com) is that WINTER is not DEAD in March in East Tennessee, despite the many warm-ups we have planned in the short-term. I've said before, and I will say it again, Mother Nature can "pull the rug out from under you," weatherwise, if you're not paying attention. Some people get mad at me that I don't hype up these fantasy model runs 1 to 2 weeks in advance. Well, that's just ridiculous. If you follow the model's logic, based on the rain example above, 17.9" of snow, as being model projected today, will probably be reduced by a factor of 10, giving us 1.79" of snow. Ha! If you have any questions, please let me know. Buckle you seatbelts. It's likely to be a wild and interesting month. David Aldrich Captain Accurate P.S. Historically, Knoxville averages 0.9" of snow in March and 0.5" of snow in April. |
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March 2024
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