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SnOW NEXT WEEK.  FACT OR FICTION?

12/6/2019

6 Comments

 
​I love serving the people of East Tennessee.  So what I’m about to say, I say out of love.  And for some of you, tough love.  A teachable moment.

Regarding the SNOW next week… 
My answer:  we’ll see.  By mid next week, if you live in Knoxville and the Valley, the horseshoe effect comes to mind.  Would NOT surprise me if we got A WHOLE LOT of RAIN, followed by a little bit of ICE, and ends with a touch of SNOW.  In the end, no big deal.

Sadly, it’s the sign of the times.  Every winter, a well-intended blogger, a weather enthusiast or weather outlet, will put out a piece of red meat.  It’s not wars and rumors of wars, it’s snowflakes and rumors of snowflakes.  They’ll dangle the idea of SNOW, regardless whether or not it’s based in fact...almost like click-bait.
Usually the hype starts 1 to 2 weeks out.  I call it “wish-casting,” not forecasting.  And usually has origins on the run of one computer model.

Fortunately, for you, this is not my first rodeo. 

“I heard this…”  
“Oh yeah, well, I heard we’re getting this…”  And so it grows on social media.

Instead they leave it to me, and others like me in the meteorological field, to clean up the mess.

If the emotional roller coaster of thinking you’re gonna get blasted with lots of snow continues to let you down, then perhaps you shouldn’t listen to them as a weather source in the first place.  Just saying.

The pressure to produce the hyped weather event is on the source you heard it from.

I assure you, I’m not asleep at the weather wheel.
They call me Captain Accurate, not Captain Trendy.

Calling it the way I see it,
David
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6 Comments
Wade Johnson
12/6/2019 03:00:47 pm

Well said, Captain!!!!!

Reply
Vanessa Lyons
12/6/2019 11:31:48 pm

I definitely go by what you say.I remember last summer I had a function to go to I’m not good with driving in the rain and I messaged you what time do you think the rain would stop and you estimate is very close to 7 PM I’ll never forget it it was like 10 to 7 it was no more rain and I was able to drive and go to myfunction . Yea A lot of some news people like to do a lot of hype nobody wants hype people want what’s right..

Reply
Brenda Singleton
12/7/2019 08:48:01 am

I have never heard a better forecast than yours. I was so totally happy when you came on here. Thank you thank thank you, thank you.

Reply
Jo-Anne Clough
12/6/2019 03:29:52 pm

Thank you David!! I am one of those SNOW LOVERS! This is why I only listen to you! I love your honesty!! Thank you ( and please find me some snow. 😘)

Reply
L J Coffey
12/6/2019 05:06:02 pm

Always watch your forecast for the most accurate !! Still wishing for a big Snow !!!

Reply
Kathy Coffey
12/6/2019 09:41:48 pm

David love how accurate on the forecast as you always have been. I would really love to see ONE BIG SNOW this winter. Thank you for the kind of person you are. Have a Blessed night.

Reply



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    David Aldrich

    Captain Accurate Weather

    Focused on weather for the Knoxville area and throughout East Tennessee

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