For thursday: The heaviest of rain is yet to come.

Two slides below from my friends at the National Weather Service in Morristown:

From NWS-Morristown

From NWS-Morristown

In addition to what you already have received...add another 2 to 4"+ of rain for tonight & Thursday with isolated 5" + amounts.

What's going on?
It's a SLOW-moving cold front, so rain is likely to parade over the same areas time and time again between now and Thursday evening.  Numbers below refer to model data, which does NOT always handle slow-moving or stalled systems well.

Future RAINFALL AVERAGES for Thursday

Model A...1.95"
Model B...1.73"
Model C...4.42"

3 Model Average:  2.70"...with locally higher amounts

Flash flooding, localized flooding and significant rises in creeks and streams will be possible over the next 24 to 36 hours.  Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Tonight:
Cloudy, more rain, downpours, gusty, isolated thunder, 100% chance, lows in the upper 50s to around 60°

TADD = "Turn Around, Don't Drown!"

Thursday:
Cloudy, soggy, occasional downpours, highs in the lower to mid 60s

Friday:  Morning flurries or snow showers possible.  Some rain may mix in, too.  Becoming partly sunny.  Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

*** Early indications bring the potential of 0.5 to 2.0" of snow for parts of the Plateau and Southeast Kentucky on Friday.  Smokies would receive some of this, too, but mainly above 3,000 feet.  Very little snow for the Valley, perhaps just flurries.  Keep in mind, this would be snow showers, not a snow storm.  Classic Horseshoe Effect.  Stay tuned.  ***

Friday night:  
Clouds thicken, colder, lows around 30°

Saturday:
Cloudy, scattered rain showers, 40% chance, mostly in the afternoon and evening.  Wet snow possible in the higher elevations of the Plateau, SE KY and Smokies.  Highs in the lower to mid 40s.

Saturday night:
Mostly cloudy, some leftover rain and snow showers, lows around 30°

Sunday:
Early clouds to sunshine, dry, highs in the mid 50s


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